Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 1205.526269 1364.406432 1539.276457 1746.508411 1986.007211 2254.825913 2580.415004
2025-11-16 963.884198 1176.783344 1432.164854 1763.149085 2183.762378 2704.406363 3403.810505
2025-11-23 831.737697 1067.885982 1367.980122 1781.439169 2342.735396 3087.454029 4165.864031
2025-11-30 744.365475 995.148442 1329.059843 1812.758296 2506.454940 3482.308355 4989.394065
2025-12-07 652.835479 901.798118 1246.103385 1765.845962 2546.048200 3699.023714 5580.325933
2025-12-14 579.383764 823.279264 1171.873064 1717.448627 2570.192471 3887.145102 6145.768382
2025-12-21 516.708093 752.640438 1099.775066 1660.772858 2569.917447 4031.026275 6653.651204
2025-12-28 491.559449 734.436635 1102.620853 1717.773851 2753.137315 4488.585559 7758.926334
2026-01-04 462.596144 707.038672 1087.657444 1743.012612 2884.756229 4874.011140 8796.152855
2026-01-11 434.926449 678.752049 1067.897744 1756.904449 2996.612401 5236.778160 9848.182472
2026-01-18 409.814827 652.112139 1047.849253 1767.184928 3101.636974 5598.523908 10956.756411
2026-01-25 393.511037 638.407783 1047.725523 1811.675086 3273.447478 6107.603344 12456.169398
2026-02-01 374.061266 618.363102 1035.963661 1835.823661 3413.773848 6583.343527 13995.911424
2026-02-08 354.972289 597.408359 1020.816674 1852.258935 3541.748107 7054.561877 15626.413590
2026-02-15 338.163026 578.943162 1008.209217 1871.653686 3677.270738 7560.474475 17442.323441
2026-02-22 324.712430 565.327463 1003.079762 1904.780081 3845.083537 8161.750308 19623.996629
2026-03-01 301.880699 532.648829 959.332208 1855.159194 3827.811630 8338.930147 20742.638400
2026-03-08 280.958927 501.991655 916.940747 1803.978004 3800.541912 8488.009954 21816.866570
2026-03-15 260.853959 471.474984 872.459254 1744.056148 3746.219385 8563.799680 22702.889615
2026-03-22 255.617603 469.174323 883.443052 1804.321898 3978.691986 9388.456713 25969.706008
2026-03-29 247.116968 459.823175 879.401639 1831.011100 4134.378664 10041.700298 28883.080549
2026-04-05 237.988777 448.550862 870.473095 1845.702541 4262.423409 10642.643183 31787.502855
2026-04-12 229.111278 437.152446 860.354168 1856.575328 4382.237396 11241.150277 34846.205995